This article serves as an introduction for those interested in selecting fundamentally strong stocks through their own research. Stock research is a time-consuming activity that requires a solid understanding of various aspects of business, economics, and human psychology. Investors should have a keen interest in analyzing financial statements, market trends, and economic indicators. Overall, investing is a blend of art and science.
- When buying a new phone, you likely start by setting your budget, then shortlist brands and compare features like battery life, design, or camera, based on what’s important to you.
- This is similar to how you should research stocks for investment decisions. Research involves gathering information from various sources, analyzing it, and processing it to make informed decisions.
- Data and information are crucial for equity research. You need relevant information about the investment, including macro and microeconomic factors, industry-specific details, and company-specific information. With this information, you can make rational investment decisions.
- Economic information: Information about the overall economy can be gathered from government statistics and data from the Reserve Bank of India. For global factors, you can refer to international agencies like the International Monetary Fund (IMF), Asian Development Bank (ADB), World Bank, and other global financial institutions.
- Industry-specific information: You can use journals and publications to gather information about different industries and sectors.
- Company-specific information: This data can be collected from sources like financial statements and annual reports filed by companies. You can also meet company officials, visit their plants or offices, conduct market surveys, attend company AGMs, and interview employees or stakeholders to get more information.
What are the factors needs to check before selecting a stock?
- Qualitative factors: These include the company’s operational performance, such as efficiency, competitiveness, business plans, and the work ethics of its management. This involves understanding why a business is better than its peers, its strengths and weaknesses, and the capabilities of its management.
- Quantitative factors: These include revenues, costs, profitability, and risks, which can be found in the company’s financial statements available on NSE/BSE. This involves analyzing balance sheets, profit and loss statements, cash flows, assets, and liabilities from the past few years.
You need to spend a good amount of time checking these factors to decide whether to buy, hold, or sell a particular stock.
What you should know for effective stock Research?
Understanding the Economy: According to British economist John Maynard Keynes, governments can impact their industries’ economic performance by adjusting tax rates and government spending. Since economic growth depends heavily on the economic environment, it’s crucial for stock researchers to understand the economy. Here are some key points every equity researcher should know:
- Macroeconomic factors: Economic growth, national income, GDP, inflation, interest rates, and unemployment rates.
- Microeconomic factors: Supply and demand, market conditions, technological changes, government policies, and consumer behavior.
- Foreign investment flows: Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) and Foreign Portfolio Investors (FPIs).
- Global factors: GDP growth, export and import transactions, and other international economic activities.
Understanding an industry: Each industry has its own pros and cons, and growth factors can differ greatly. To find good stocks, you need to understand the industry’s business models, growth prospects, competitive advantage, operational factors, price sensitivity, consumer behavior, and regulatory environment.
Understanding Companies: Companies, whether in the same industry or different, can have very different approaches to business. Each company has its own way of operation, unique business model, and specific customers. Researchers study companies in two ways: qualitatively (looking at aspects like business strategy and management) and quantitatively (examining financial data).
How to Interact with Company management?
Retail investors typically do not interact directly with company management. High Net Worth Individuals (HNIs) and institutional investors, however, often need to engage with the company due to their substantial investments. Before investing, they seek detailed insights about the company. One way to obtain this information is through direct interactions, such as face-to-face meetings or attending Annual General Meetings (AGMs).
When you have the opportunity to interact with management, be prepared to ask all relevant questions that could impact the company’s business. Here are some key points to consider:
- Pre-meeting Research: Conduct thorough due diligence on the company’s historical performance and review prior management commentary. Verify if the company achieved its previously stated goals and use this information to formulate pertinent questions.
- Independence and Neutrality of View: Maintain an independent and unbiased perspective during interactions with company management. This ensures an objective and balanced discussion.
- Clarity of Company Financials: Review the company’s financial statements and reports before the meeting. If any figures or disclosures seem unclear or problematic, you can ask for clarification.
- Inquire About Future Plans: Ask about the company’s strategic initiatives, such as capital expenditures, expansion plans, new project launches, and future order books.
- Assess Company Risks: Understand the potential risks that could impact the company’s short-term and long-term performance. Inquire about specific risk factors, such as market volatility, regulatory changes, and competitive pressures.
- Clarity of Questions: Ensure your questions are clear, concise, and focused. This will help you obtain precise and informative responses from the management.
These points provide a framework for engaging effectively with company management and can aid in making informed investment decisions. There are many more questions you can consider, but the above are some essential examples.
What are the qualities of good Stock Researcher?
Retail investors can effectively research stocks despite some limitations. By developing the following qualities, a retail investor can conduct stock research like a professional. These skills can be improved with regular practice:
- Patience: It is the most important trait in investing. Wait for the right opportunities without rushing.
- Strong Business Knowledge: Understand how businesses operate and what drives their success or failure.
- Quantitative and Qualitative Analysis Skills: Analyze both numerical data and non-numerical factors.
- Proficiency with Numbers: Be comfortable with calculations and financial metrics from company reports.
- Excel and Data Analytical Tools Proficiency: Be skilled in using spreadsheets and other data analysis tools.
- Clear Understanding of Financial Concepts: Grasp key financial principles and terminology.
- Ability to Read and Interpret Financial Statements: Understand balance sheets, income statements, and cash flow statements.
- Ability to Ask Pertinent Questions: Know what questions to ask to gain deeper insights.
- Attention to Detail: Notice small but important pieces of information.
- Good Presentation and Communication Skills: Clearly and effectively communicate findings, both in writing and verbally.
By developing these qualities, retail investors can enhance their stock research abilities and make informed investment decisions.